In Cash

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 16, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (10/4), the value of SGS was calculated to be +202 and the status of SGS remains Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above.

My Plan

Last Wednesday I closed all of my positions and moved entirely into cash. Considering the current situation in the Middle East, the high likelihood of disputes over the upcoming presidential election in November potentially delaying the government transition for weeks or even months, and the overall economic uncertainty, I believe it’s wise to stay on the sidelines for now.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

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SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

Buying Dips

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 16, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (9/27), the value of SGS was calculated to be +377 and the status of SGS remains Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. Dips should be bought because there is a good chance SPX reaches and possibly pass 6,000 sometime this year.

My Plan

I moved 10% of my cash into SPY last Wednesday. My plan to open need positions in SPY and SMH sometime this week.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

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opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

Major Indices Are Overbought

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 16, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (9/20), the value of SGS was calculated to be +461 and the status of SGS remains Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. Major indices are overbought and a correction is very likely coming.

My Plan

I didn't open any new positions last week.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice 

25 Or 50 BSP?

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 16, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (9/13), the value of SGS was calculated to be +233 and the status of SGS remains Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. The employment data looks good, inflation is trending down, and the consumer is spending. I expect the Fed lowering the federal funds rate by only 25 bases points (0.25%). I also expect indices react positively and reach new all-time high later this week.

My Plan

I am planning to add to my long positions sometime early this week.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

No Change Since Last Week

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 16, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (9/6), the value of SGS was calculated to be +105 and the status of SGS remains Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. The employment data that was released on Friday was not as bad as feared. I think that chances are good that the US economy avoids a recession in 2024 or early 2025.

My Plan

For now I am staying with my long positions.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

Recession Or No Recession

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 16, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (8/30), the value of SGS was calculated to be +278 and the status of SGS remains Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. The employment data to be released on Friday this week is critical. If that data disappoints the market, there would be a good chance that indices sell off this month to test early August lows.

My Plan

For now I am staying with my long positions.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

SPX Is On Its Way to 6,000

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 16, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (8/23), the value of SGS was calculated to be +243 and the status of SGS remains Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. There is a good chance that SPX rallies to new a new all-time high and beyond.

My Plan

Per my plan I closed my long positions last Wednesday. With SGS being Long now, my plan is to open new long positions.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

SGS Market Timer Is Long

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 16, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (8/16), the value of SGS was calculated to be +24 and the status of SGS changed from Neutral to Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. There is a good chance that SPX rallies to new a new all-time high and beyond.

My Plan

Per my plan I closed my long positions last Wednesday. With SGS being Long now, my plan is to open new long positions.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

SGS Market Timer Is Neutral

SGS Market Timer Status:  NEUTRAL 
NEUTRAL as of the close of Friday August 9, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (8/9), the value of SGS was calculated to be -111 and the status of SGS changed from Long to Neutral.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. There is a good chance that the rally that started last Monday continues.

My Plan

With SGS being Neutral now, my plan is to monitor indices and close my long positions if needed.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.     

Bought The Dip

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday July 12, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (8/2), the value of SGS was calculated to be +144 and the status of SGS remains Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. I don't think we're heading into a recession, I bought the dip.

My Plan

With SGS being long, I added to my long positions in SPY, QQQ, and SMH again last Friday.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.    

Selling Is Very Likely Done

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday July 12, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (7/26), the value of SGS was calculated to be +278 and the status of SGS remains Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. There is a good chance that selling in major indices is done. SPX very likely on its way to test its recent all-time high and beyond.

My Plan

Per my plan I added to my long positions in SPY, QQQ, and SMH last Friday. My plan is to add to those positions again (another 10% for a total of 30%) once SPX puts in a new all-time high.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.   

Buying The Dip

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday July 12, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (7/19), the value of SGS was calculated to be +353 and the status of SGS remains Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. Short-term indices are at extreme oversold levels, presenting a buying opportunity. I am buying the dip.

My Plan

Per my plan I open new long positions in SPY, QQQ, and SMH last Tuesday. My plan is to add to those positions (another 10% for a total of 30%) sometime this week.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

SGS Market Timer Is Long

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday July 12, 2024
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS & SGS-ST Performance Data 

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (7/12), the value of SGS was calculated to be +247 and the status of SGS changed from Neutral to Long.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

The support and resistance levels for the current week in the SPX are shown above. With SGS turning Long, it is time to put cash to work.

My Plan

My plan is to put 30% of my cash to work (SPY, QQQ, & SMH, 10% each) early this week.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.