Sunday, September 19, 2021

Bull Run Very Likely Resumes This Week

SGS  Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 27, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must


There is an excellent chance that the recent selling is done and indices resume their advance higher because fundamentally nothing has changed.  The Fed's put is very much in and continues to be in for the foreseeable future.  The recent selling, for the most part, has been done by passive investors following seasonality.  They expect September and October to be bad months for stocks as they expected last May was time to "sell and go away".  Indices also declined for a couple of weeks back in early May this year.


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (9/17), the value of SGS was calculated to be +51 and the status of SGS remains LONG.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.


My Plan

No change, my plan is to stay with my long positions.



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opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

Sunday, September 12, 2021

A Buying Opportunity Is Coming Up

SGS  Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 27, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must


The sell-off is likely is done or near being done and a buying opportunity is coming up early to mid this week.


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (9/10), the value of SGS was calculated to be +147 and the status of SGS remains LONG.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.


My Plan

No change, my plan is to stay with my long positions.



twitter
opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice 

Saturday, September 4, 2021

Indices Look Good

SGS  Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 27, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must


Indices look good and are heading higher.


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (9/3), the value of SGS was calculated to be +430 and the status of SGS remains LONG.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.


My Plan

My plan is to stay with my long positions.



twitter
opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

Sunday, August 29, 2021

SGS Market Timer Is LONG

SGS  Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday August 27, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must


Indices are heading higher.


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (8/27), the value of SGS was calculated to be +401 and the status of SGS changed from SHORT to LONG.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.


My Plan

Anticipating the change of status for SGS from SHORT to LONG, I opened new long positions last week.  On Tuesday, I bought MRNA and IWM, on Wednesday, I bought SPY, ADBE, and NVDA, on Thursday, I bought QQQ and INTU, and on Friday, I bought INSP.



twitter
opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

Sunday, August 22, 2021

SGS Market Timer is SHORT

SGS  Market Timer Status:  SHORT 
SHORT as of the close of Friday August 20, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must


I am not sure where indices are heading.


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (8/20), the value of SGS was calculated to be -199 and the status of SGS changed from LONG to SHORT.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.


My Plan

Anticipating the change of status for SGS, last Tuesday I closed my long positions, expect for small positions in crypto (5%).   I am 95% in cash and planning to stay there for now.



twitter
opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.   

Saturday, August 14, 2021

Grind Up Continues

SGS  Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday July 23, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must


Again no change since last week, indices grind higher and dips are buying opportunities.


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (8/13), the value of SGS was calculated to be +201 and the status of SGS remains LONG.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.


My Plan

Last week, I replaced AMAT with ORCL.  I still have 5% in cash and planning do something with it this coming week.



twitter
opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  



Sunday, August 8, 2021

No Change

SGS  Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday July 23, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must


No change since last week, indices grind higher and dips are buying opportunities.


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (8/6), the value of SGS was calculated to be +287 and the status of SGS remains LONG.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.
twitter
opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.   

Sunday, August 1, 2021

Indices Grind Higher

SGS  Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday July 23, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must


Indices grind higher.  Dips are buying opportunities.


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (7/30), the value of SGS was calculated to be +265 and the status of SGS remains LONG.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.


My Plan

I'm still looking for a dip to buy more SPY.


twitter
opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

Sunday, July 25, 2021

SGS Market Timer Is LONG

SGS  Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday July 23, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must


It's the same story since March of 2009, the grind up continues and dips are buying opportunities.  This very likely continues for a while, a long while.


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (7/23), the value of SGS was calculated to be +214 and the status of SGS changed from NEUTRAL to LONG.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.


My Plan

I made significant changes to my long-term portfolio last week.  I increased its passive component to 45% (SPY, QQQ, and IWM), reduced its active component to 50% (MRNA, GS, COF, AMAT, and NVDA), and reduced it crypto component to 5% (GBTC and ETHE).

I'm looking for a dip to buy more SPY.


twitter
opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

Sunday, July 18, 2021

Market Is On Edge

SGS  Market Timer Status:  NEUTRAL 
NEUTRAL as of the close of Friday July 16, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must



The fear of another Covid spike and also the fear of high inflation pushed indices lower last week.  There is a good chance that indices rally early this week to retrace back 40% to 60% of their decline and to test the newly formed PDL-1, shown above.  A close above PDL-1 would signal a high likelihood of the resumption of bull rally.


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (7/16), the value of SGS was calculated to be +36 and the status of SGS changed from LONG to NEUTRAL.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.


My Plan

With SGS being NEUTRAL now, my plan is to close all my long positions sometime early this week. 



twitter
opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

Sunday, July 11, 2021

Dips Are Buying Opportunities

SGS  Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday Mar 5, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must


The grind up continues and dips are buying opportunities.  This very likely continues for a while, a long while.


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (7/9), the value of SGS was calculated to be +298 and the status of SGS remains LONG.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.


My Plan

SGS is LONG and my plan is to stay with my long positions, except sometime early tomorrow I'm planning to sell SLB and buy NVDA in its place.


twitter
opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.   

Monday, July 5, 2021

The Grind Up Continues

SGS  Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG as of the close of Friday Mar 5, 2021
Previous SGS Status
SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
Why Market Timing Is A Must


SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (7/2), the value of SGS was calculated to be +392 and the status of SGS remains LONG.


S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for next week are shown above.


My Plan

SGS is LONG and my plan is to stay with my long positions.


twitter
opader@gmail.com



SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.