SGS is Short (SGS went short as of close of Friday 5/14/2010).
RTS is covering APC and selling short NVDA in its place today Friday 7/16/2010 at the open.
RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is up 4.8% as of yesterday's close. Full update later today.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, July 16, 2010
Friday, July 9, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 7/9/2010
SGS is Short (SGS went short as of close of Friday 5/14/2010).
RTS Current Portfolio Return =7.6% (5/17/2010 to Present)
vs. SPX = (5.2%)
RTS Total Return =64.9% (11/07/2007 to Present)vs. SPX = (28.9%)
RTS Ave. Annual Return = 24.3% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (10.8%)
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Tuesday, July 6, 2010
Where are we heading?
Down Down Down as shown in thick solid pink on the SPX montly chart below.
First of all SGS is short (been short as of close of 5/14/2010), so you've got to respect that. Secondly, SPX solidly closed below its 23 EMA on the SPX monthly chart; and on the SPX daily chart, 50 D-SMA is now below 200 D-SMA (Death Cross). Thirdly, notice the symmetric nature of SPX moves from its major bottoms and tops in the last 12 years. That symmetry will repeat itself as SPX goes down to retest March 2009 lows around 700 to 650 sometime in late 2010 to early 2011.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
First of all SGS is short (been short as of close of 5/14/2010), so you've got to respect that. Secondly, SPX solidly closed below its 23 EMA on the SPX monthly chart; and on the SPX daily chart, 50 D-SMA is now below 200 D-SMA (Death Cross). Thirdly, notice the symmetric nature of SPX moves from its major bottoms and tops in the last 12 years. That symmetry will repeat itself as SPX goes down to retest March 2009 lows around 700 to 650 sometime in late 2010 to early 2011.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, July 2, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 7/2/2010
SGS is Short (SGS went short as of close of Friday 5/14/2010).
RTS Current Portfolio Return =15.9% (5/17/2010 to Present)
vs. SPX = (10.0%)
RTS Total Return =73.2% (11/07/2007 to Present)vs. SPX = (32.5%)
RTS Ave. Annual Return = 27.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (12.3%)
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Thursday, July 1, 2010
RTS Covering AVP and Selling Short PCX on Friday 7/2/10 at Open
SGS is Short.
RTS is covering AVP and selling short PCX in its place tomorrow Friday 7/2/2010 at the open.
RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is up 15.8% as of today's close. Full update on Friday.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS is covering AVP and selling short PCX in its place tomorrow Friday 7/2/2010 at the open.
RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is up 15.8% as of today's close. Full update on Friday.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, June 25, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 6/25/2010
SGS is Short.
RTS Current Portfolio Return =11.9% (5/17/2010 to Present)
RTS Total Return =69.2% (11/07/2007 to Present)RTS Ave. Annual Return = 26.3% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Monday, June 21, 2010
RTS Covering SID and Selling Short APC on Tuesday 6/22/10 at Open
SGS is Short.
RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is up 7.3% as of today's close. Full update on Friday.
RTS is covering SID and selling short APC in its place on Tuesday 6/22/2010 at the open.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is up 7.3% as of today's close. Full update on Friday.
RTS is covering SID and selling short APC in its place on Tuesday 6/22/2010 at the open.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, June 18, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 6/18/2010
SGS is Short.
RTS Current Portfolio Return =7.4% (5/17/2010 to Present)
RTS Total Return =64.7% (11/07/2007 to Present)RTS Ave. Annual Return = 24.8% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Wednesday, June 16, 2010
SPX Up Against Primary Downtrend Line
SGS is Short.
SPX hit the primary downtrend line today (thick blue line). This trend line should turn SPX back and forcing it heading south again. A solid close above this line (i.e. SPX closing at 1120 or higher) would very likely push SPX higher to its 50 D-SMA, around 1140 (green curve).
If this Market is heading substantially lower, it should start that way tomorrow.
SPX hit the primary downtrend line today (thick blue line). This trend line should turn SPX back and forcing it heading south again. A solid close above this line (i.e. SPX closing at 1120 or higher) would very likely push SPX higher to its 50 D-SMA, around 1140 (green curve).
If this Market is heading substantially lower, it should start that way tomorrow.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Saturday, June 12, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 6/11/2010
SGS is Short.
SPX is up against a wall of resistance at 1095, give or take a point or two. Chances of overcoming this resistance is low. Selling should resume next week.
RTS Current Portfolio Return =8.6% (5/17/2010 to Present)
RTS Total Return =65.9% (11/07/2007 to Present)RTS Ave. Annual Return = 25.4% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Saturday, June 5, 2010
Half Way Done - Another Half To Go
NASDAQ Composite (COMPQ), Russel 2000 (RUT) and S&P 500 (SPX) have dropped about 13% from their highs of late April. By late June to mid July, they'll very likely shed another 13% to reach their 50% retracement levels of their late April highs. Those levels are roughly at:
COMPQ:1950
RUT: 550
SPX: 950
COMPQ:1950
RUT: 550
SPX: 950
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 6/4/2010
SGS is Short.
RTS Current Portfolio Return =11.3% (5/17/2010 to Present)
RTS Total Return =68.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)RTS Ave. Annual Return = 26.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, May 28, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 5/28/2010
SGS is Short.
RTS Current Portfolio Return = 6.1% (5/17/2010 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 63.4% (11/07/2007 to Present)RTS Ave. Annual Return = 24.8% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Saturday, May 22, 2010
Next Two Weeks, C R I T I C A L
Three scenarios to consider:
1. Less Likely: Continuation of the bull run that started early March 2009.
2. Likely: Market sells off more despite being very over sold, until it dramatically crashes down to SPX 950-900.
3. More Likely: A rally back to SPX 1120-1150 over the course of next two weeks and then declining back to retest last week lows, SPX 1070- 1050.
I like 2.
opader@gmail.com
1. Less Likely: Continuation of the bull run that started early March 2009.
2. Likely: Market sells off more despite being very over sold, until it dramatically crashes down to SPX 950-900.
3. More Likely: A rally back to SPX 1120-1150 over the course of next two weeks and then declining back to retest last week lows, SPX 1070- 1050.
I like 2.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 5/21/2010
SGS is Short.
RTS Current Portfolio Return = 6.8% (5/17/2010 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 64.1% (11/07/2007 to Present)RTS Ave. Annual Return = 25.2% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Wednesday, May 19, 2010
Possible Downside for SPX ....
SGS is Short.
SPX seems to be sandwiched by 50 D-SMA (as the resistance) and 200 D-SMA (as the support). There is a good chance now that SPX comes down to retest its 200 D-SMA at lower 110X sometimes this week.
SGS is short. Full portfolio update this weekend.
opader@gmail.com
SPX seems to be sandwiched by 50 D-SMA (as the resistance) and 200 D-SMA (as the support). There is a good chance now that SPX comes down to retest its 200 D-SMA at lower 110X sometimes this week.
SGS is short. Full portfolio update this weekend.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Monday, May 17, 2010
RTS Short Portfolio 201010517 Update
SGS is Short.
Fidelity had no free shares available to short MT and USO. RTS shorted GILD and CNX in their place.
20100517 Short Portfolio:
Past RTS Portfolios
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Fidelity had no free shares available to short MT and USO. RTS shorted GILD and CNX in their place.
20100517 Short Portfolio:
Past RTS Portfolios
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Saturday, May 15, 2010
SGS Went Short as of Close of Friday 5/14/2010
SGS is Short.
On Monday May 17 at the open, all 10 open positions in RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio will be closed (sold) and the following 10 new short positions for RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio will be opened:
MON PBR MT AVP BAX RIG AKS BP SID USO
RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio as of close of 5/14:
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
On Monday May 17 at the open, all 10 open positions in RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio will be closed (sold) and the following 10 new short positions for RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio will be opened:
MON PBR MT AVP BAX RIG AKS BP SID USO
RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio as of close of 5/14:
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Possible upside for SPX ....
SPX seems to be sandwiched by 50 D-SMA (as the resistance) and 200 D-SMA (as the support). There is a chance we break above 50 D-SMA, but I think we'll very likely stop at lower 1170's.
SGS is still long. Full portfolio update on Friday as usual.
opader@gmail.com
SGS is still long. Full portfolio update on Friday as usual.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Saturday, May 8, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 5/7/2010
SGS is still Long, but very close to going Short.
Market is over-sold and next week it will very likely recover some, but I think the bull run that started on March 6, 2009 is over.
Current RTS Portfolio Return = -2.2% (02/23/10 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 52.8% (11/07/2007 to Present)RTS Annual Return = 21.1% (Ave Return Since 11/07/2007)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below:
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Tuesday, May 4, 2010
RTS Selling TCK and Buying BA on Wed 5/5 at Open
In RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio, RTS is selling TCK and buying BA in its place on Wednesday 5/5 at the open.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Monday, May 3, 2010
RTS Selling AMZN and Buying STI on Tuesday 5/4 at Open
In RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio, RTS is selling AMZN and buying STI in its place on Tuesday 5/4 at the open.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, April 30, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 4/30/2010
SGS is Long
Current RTS Portfolio Return = 9.1% (02/23/10 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 64.1% (11/07/2007 to Present)RTS Annual Return = 25.9% (Ave Return Since 11/07/2007)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below:
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Tuesday, April 27, 2010
RTS Selling VALE and Buying LVS on Wednesday 4/28 at Open
In RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio, RTS is selling VALE and buying LVS in its place on Wednesday 4/28 at the open.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, April 23, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 4/23/2010
SGS is Long
Current RTS Portfolio Return = 18.7% (02/23/10 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 73.7% (11/07/2007 to Present)RTS Annual Return = 29.9% (Ave Return Since 11/07/2007)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below:
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Sunday, April 18, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 4/16/2010
SGS is Long
Current RTS Portfolio Return = 13.2% (02/23/10 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 68.2% (11/07/2007 to Present)RTS Annual Return = 27.9% (Ave Return Since 11/07/2007)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below:
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
CF Took Over TRA on 4/15/2010 at Close - RTS Sold TRA and Bought ZION
CF announced on Thr 4/15/2010 that it was taking over TRA. TRA was delisted on 4/15 at close. RTS sold TRA and bought ZION on Thr 4/15/2010 at close.
I didn't get a chance to sell my TRA shares and buy ZION last Thursday. My plan is to do that as soon as my broker gives me the cash and CF shares for my TRA shares ($37.15 in cash + 0.0953*CF share for every TRA share).
opader@gmail.com
I didn't get a chance to sell my TRA shares and buy ZION last Thursday. My plan is to do that as soon as my broker gives me the cash and CF shares for my TRA shares ($37.15 in cash + 0.0953*CF share for every TRA share).
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, April 9, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 4/9/2010
SGS is Long
Current RTS Portfolio Return = 15.1% (02/23/10 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 70.1% (11/07/2007 to Present)RTS Annual Return = 29.0% (Ave Return Since 11/07/2007)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below:
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, April 2, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 4/2/2010
SGS is Long
RTS Total Return = 68.2% (11/07/2007 to Present)
RTS Annual Return = 28.4% (Ave Return Since 11/07/2007)
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Monday, March 29, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 3/26/2010
Sunday, March 28, 2010
RTS Sold BTU and Bought X on Fri 3/26 at Open - Late Posting
SGS is Long.
In RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio, RTS sold BTU and bought X in its place on Friday 3/26 at the open. I did not get a chance to analyze Thursday data until today. My plan is to put my trades in tomorrow (Monday) at the open.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
In RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio, RTS sold BTU and bought X in its place on Friday 3/26 at the open. I did not get a chance to analyze Thursday data until today. My plan is to put my trades in tomorrow (Monday) at the open.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Saturday, March 20, 2010
RTS Selling BJS and Buying MYL on Monday 3/22 at Open
In RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio, RTS is selling BJS and buying MYL in its place on Monday 3/22 at the open.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 3/19/2010
SGS is Long
RTS One Year-ish Return = 11.1% (3/26/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 61.2% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS One Year-ish Return = 11.1% (3/26/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 61.2% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Wednesday, March 17, 2010
RTS Sold STX and Bought AMZN on Tue 3/16 at Open - Late Posting
SGS is Long.
In RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio, RTS sold STX and bought AMZN in its place on Tuesday 3/16 at the open. I did not get a chance to analyze Monday data until this morning. My plan is to put my trades in later today before close.
Current RTS Portfolio is up around 12%, full update on Friday.
This post was updated to correct AMZN for ZION.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
In RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio, RTS sold STX and bought AMZN in its place on Tuesday 3/16 at the open. I did not get a chance to analyze Monday data until this morning. My plan is to put my trades in later today before close.
Current RTS Portfolio is up around 12%, full update on Friday.
This post was updated to correct AMZN for ZION.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, March 12, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 3/12/2010
SGS is Long
RTS One Year-ish Return = 15.1% (3/26/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 65.2% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS One Year-ish Return = 15.1% (3/26/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 65.2% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, March 5, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 3/5/2010
SGS is Long
RTS One Year-ish Return = 14.4% (3/26/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 64.5% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS One Year-ish Return = 14.4% (3/26/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 64.5% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Saturday, February 27, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 2/26/2010
SGS is Long
RTS One Year-ish Return = 5.0% (3/26/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 55.1% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Monday, February 22, 2010
SGS went Long at Close of Monday 2/22/2010
SGS is Long.On Tuesday Feb 23 at the open, all 10 open positions in RTS 20100201 Short Portfolio will be closed (covered) and the following 10 new long positions for RTS 20100223 Long Portfolio will be opened:
CLF PCX SNDK TCK STX TRA CAL BJS BTU VALE
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, February 19, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 2/19/2010
SGS is Short
RTS One Year-ish Return = 12.2 (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 54.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS One Year-ish Return = 12.2 (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 54.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Saturday, February 13, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 2/12/2010
SGS is Short
RTS One Year-ish Return = 17.2 (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 59.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS One Year-ish Return = 17.2 (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 59.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Thursday, February 11, 2010
RTS Covering GG and X ; Selling Short WU and BAC on Friday 2/12 at Open
SGS is Short.
RTS 20100201 Short Portfolio is down 1.5%. Full update tomorrow. RTS is covering GG and X; selling short WU and BAC in their places on Friday 2/12/2010 at the open.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS 20100201 Short Portfolio is down 1.5%. Full update tomorrow. RTS is covering GG and X; selling short WU and BAC in their places on Friday 2/12/2010 at the open.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Friday, February 5, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 2/5/2010
SGS is Short
RTS One Year-ish Return = 19.0 (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 61.4% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS One Year-ish Return = 19.0 (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 61.4% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Monday, February 1, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Monday 2/1/2010
SGS is Short
RTS One Year-ish Return = 15.9 (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 58.4% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
No no-cost shorts were available for STEC, STP and AIG. They were replaced by NUE, GME and X.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS One Year-ish Return = 15.9 (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 58.4% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
No no-cost shorts were available for STEC, STP and AIG. They were replaced by NUE, GME and X.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Saturday, January 30, 2010
SGS went Short at Close of Friday 1/29/2010
SGS is short.
On Monday Feb 1 at the open, all 10 open positions in RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio will be closed and the following 10 new short positions for RTS 20100201 Short Portfolio will be opened:
STEC KGC STP QCOM JCP WFT STLD GG AIG MS

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
On Monday Feb 1 at the open, all 10 open positions in RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio will be closed and the following 10 new short positions for RTS 20100201 Short Portfolio will be opened:
STEC KGC STP QCOM JCP WFT STLD GG AIG MS
Chart below shows a trend line support at SPX 105X and 200 D-SMA support at SPX 101X. I think Market is oversold and due for a rebound. Then we very likely revisit SPX 1000. Beyond that who the heck knows.

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Revising Entry Target to SPX 1051
Looks to me SPX is in a consolidation pattern and is about to take another leg down to lower 1050's / higher 1040's.
My plan is to buy into indices and 10 RTS Divedend Long Portfolio at SPX 1051. If SGS goes short (it's marching that way now), I will close all long positions including RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio. I will then open 10 new short positions.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
My plan is to buy into indices and 10 RTS Divedend Long Portfolio at SPX 1051. If SGS goes short (it's marching that way now), I will close all long positions including RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio. I will then open 10 new short positions.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
RTS Dividend Portfolio
My plan is to buy the following 10 stocks (equal $) once SPX hits 1061 (we might see that tomorrow or on Thursday). These stocks have an average of 7.6% dividend yield and are chosen because of their price performance and high liquidity. I'm not going to post changes to this portfolio. If you're interested to get the updates, please send me an email and I include you in the update mailing list.
WPZ FUN NMM CLMT CQP SJT RGNC TNP ETE SE
Good Luck.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed dare provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
WPZ FUN NMM CLMT CQP SJT RGNC TNP ETE SE
Good Luck.
opader@gmail.com
Disclaimer: The views expressed dare provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice. Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
RTS Selling X and CAT -- Buying MRK and TGT on Wed 1/27 at Open
SGS is Long.
In RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio, RTS is selling X and CAT, buying MRK and TGT in their places on Wednesday 1/27 at the open. Full update on Friday.
opader@gmail.com
In RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio, RTS is selling X and CAT, buying MRK and TGT in their places on Wednesday 1/27 at the open. Full update on Friday.
opader@gmail.com
RTS Selling COF and Buying ZION on Tue 1/26 at Open
RTS is selling COF and buying ZION in its place on Tuesday 1/26/2010 at the open. Full update on Friday.
opader@gmail.com
Sorry about the late post, www.blogger.com was down last night.
opader@gmail.com
Sorry about the late post, www.blogger.com was down last night.
Saturday, January 23, 2010
A Correction is Underway
Since March 2009 lows, SPX has corrected twice, dropping 9.1% from its peak in July 2009 and 6.5% in November 2009. This correction is no different from the previous two and I expect a drop of 7.8% (average of the last two) from the recent SPX peak of 1150. That suggests 1061 as the low point for this correction, very likely happening intraday either on Monday or Tuesday next week.
I looked at currently top ranked stocks, none of them looked that good to me. My plan is to buy the indices once and if SPX hits 1061 or lower. I'm going to use "conditional market buy orders" to open these long positions:
SPY 20%, QQQQ 40%, IWM 40%
Good Luck.
I looked at currently top ranked stocks, none of them looked that good to me. My plan is to buy the indices once and if SPX hits 1061 or lower. I'm going to use "conditional market buy orders" to open these long positions:
SPY 20%, QQQQ 40%, IWM 40%
Good Luck.
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 1/22/2010
RTS One Year-ish Return = 22.4% (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 73.8% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Friday, January 15, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 1/15/2010
SGS is Long
RTS One Year-ish Return = 32.9% (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 84.3% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
RTS One Year-ish Return = 32.9% (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 84.3% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Saturday, January 9, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 1/8/10
SGS is Long
RTS One Year-ish Return = 36.3% (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 87.7% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
RTS One Year-ish Return = 36.3% (1/15/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 87.7% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Thursday, January 7, 2010
RTS Selling MSFT and Buying X on Friday 1/8 at the Open
SGS is Long.
RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio is up around 26%. Full update tomorrow.
RTS is selling MSFT and buying X in its place tomorrow Friday 1/8/2010 at the open.
opader@gmail.com
RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio is up around 26%. Full update tomorrow.
RTS is selling MSFT and buying X in its place tomorrow Friday 1/8/2010 at the open.
opader@gmail.com
Saturday, January 2, 2010
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Thursday 12/31/2009
SGS is Long
RTS One Year-ish Return = 16.3% (1/6/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 71.0% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
RTS One Year-ish Return = 16.3% (1/6/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 71.0% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Friday, December 25, 2009
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Thursday 12/24/2009
SGS is Long
RTS One Year-ish Return = 18.8% (1/6/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 73.5% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
RTS One Year-ish Return = 18.8% (1/6/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 73.5% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Sunday, December 20, 2009
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 12/18/2009
SGS is Long
RTS One Year-ish Return = 13.7% (1/6/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 68.3% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
RTS One Year-ish Return = 13.7% (1/6/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 68.3% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Friday, December 11, 2009
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 12/11/2009
SGS is Long
RTS One Year-ish Return = 13.8% (1/6/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 68.4% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
RTS One Year-ish Return = 13.8% (1/6/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 68.4% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Friday, December 4, 2009
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 12/04/2009
SGS is Long
RTS One Year-ish Return = 12.4% (1/6/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 67.0% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
RTS One Year-ish Return = 12.4% (1/6/2009 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 67.0% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
opader@gmail.com
Thursday, December 3, 2009
RTS Selling TJX and Buying CI on Friday 12/4 at Open
SGS is Long.
RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio is up around 18%. Full update tomorrow.
RTS is selling TJX and buying CI in its place tomorrow Friday 12/4/2009 at the open.
opader@gmail.com
RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio is up around 18%. Full update tomorrow.
RTS is selling TJX and buying CI in its place tomorrow Friday 12/4/2009 at the open.
opader@gmail.com
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