Sunday, February 12, 2023

SGS Market Timer Is NEUTRAL

SGS Market Timer Status:  NEUTRAL 
NEUTRAL as of the close of Friday February 10, 2023 
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data (New)
Why Market Timing Is A Must

The recent selling of equity markets, especially NASDAQ, is due to the significant rise in interest rates, such as a 40 basis point (0.4%) rise in the 10-year Treasury note, in the last couple of weeks.

As shown on the chart above, the 10-year Treasury note yield breached its PDL-1 on its weekly chart and closed above it last Friday.  There is a good chance that 10-year Treasury yield continues to go higher and that would signal more selling is ahead for equities.

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (2/10), the value of SGS was calculated to be +38.  The status of SGS changed from LONG to NEUTRAL.

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above.  

My Plan

With SGS changing its status to NEUTRAL, I'm planning to close my long positions, except for two small crypto positions, sometime this week.


SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line
TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.